It’s almost 13 years since I first immersed myself in understanding the heating market, and began supporting Europe’s biggest energy suppliers and HVAC companies in navigating the heating transition. 2020 seems like a good time to reflect on what’s changed since then and consider what the next decade could bring.
Thirteen years ago I had just completed a PhD quantifying the impact of climate change on Icelandic glaciers – and predicting how these impacts would play out in future decades. The impact of continued warming – and the need for urgent action to stop it – was painfully clear. This desire to solve the climate crisis was of course what drove me to the energy industry. The science of climate change was clear – now to tackle action and adaptation. I focused in very quickly on heat, as one of the most critical (if most challenging) parts of energy consumption to decarbonise.