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Key opportunities for biogas-to-energy projects in South East Asia

With biogas engine sales amounting to more than 50 MWe of installed capacity per year in the region, where exactly are these units being sold?

The market for biogas* power generation projects in South East Asia is currently buzzing, especially in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and the Philippines. Delta-ee analysis shows that this is down to a combination of improved incentive schemes ranging from feed-in-tariffs and tax relief to subsidy grants as well as abundant availability of palm oil mill effluent, industrial waste, and livestock manure to be used as feedstocks.

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USA: A land of opportunity for gas engines

The USA is one of the top three gas engine markets globally and we are forecasting the market will double by 2020. There are a lot of opportunities, varying by State, by engine size, and by application (cogeneration or power-only generation).Our USA Distributed Power Service country report examines these in great detail, but here are a few highlights regarding key drivers:

1. Firstly, there’s the phenomenal boom in shale gas supply and the resulting low natural gas prices. Going forward, while there is likely to be upward pressure on gas prices, we believe healthy spark spreads will continue up to 2020 with some States still experiencing electricity prices that are 4 or 5 times more than that of gas prices. We show below the 2012/2013 spark spread snapshot of each USA state.



2. A second key driver is policy. Whether it is to comply with strict federal environmental regulation to cut down greenhouse gas emissions, or to qualify for State-specific renewables or energy efficiency incentive mechanisms, or as a power supply hedge in a black out-prone USA - utilities, industry, and commercial sectors have a much greater incentive to invest in, and support, “cleaner”, efficient, and reliable cogeneration systems. We expect that more States will offer credits or improved incentives in the future to facilitate greater uptake of cogeneration systems.

3. A third driver is the greater demand for flexible generation. We expect the installed capacity of non-dispatchable resources such as wind and solar to rise as individual States ramp up efforts to meet renewable energy generation targets by 2020 to 2025. This will benefit large engine units particularly, with the  larger than 5 MWe market segment expanding the most in terms of installed capacity at an average annualised growth rate of ~18.5% / year between 2013-2020.

And what of biogas projects (including landfill gas)? Overall, we expect some growth, but this will be concentrated in systems that are under 3 MWe in capacity and dominated by opportunities in California.  

Taking all the above into account - for gas engines sized 400kWe and above  - we expect to see a doubling of today’s annual installed capacity by 2020 in USA. While the size of the pie will vary from State to State – overall the USA is a land of opportunities for gas engines.

Delta-ee’s USA country report, available to subscribers of the Distributed Power Service, dives into detail about which States offer the best opportunities and for what customer segments and what engine size classes. For more information on our pricing structure or to discuss this research - please contact Dina Darshini at dina.darshini@delta-ee.com.
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New Delta-ee research forecasts growth for small-scale CHP in the UK over the next 5 years

As part of the Distributed Power Service, a new global research service which considers current trends and future opportunities for distributed power systems in the world’s leading markets, Delta-ee has published its latest report on the UK market for small-scale gas engines. All gas engines used within CHP and stationary power applications - and with capacities ranging from 400 kWe to over 10 MWe - have been considered.

Here, we share some of our key findings:

The UK gas engine market has improved steadily since the major slump in 2008 and we expect continued growth to 2020 driven by improving spark spreads and a supportive policy framework for biogas installations. A gradual recovery from the economic downturn is also likely to improve investor confidence in the second half of the decade, with a stronger emergence of district heating expected nearer to 2020. 



Overall, we expect strongest growth among the smaller sized gas engines - primarily those under 1 MWe in capacity.  Increasingly, we are seeing CHP systems installed within commercial and public buildings while policies are tending to favour smaller systems. Furthermore, as spark spreads improve, small systems which were previously prohibitively expensive are becoming more viable. Specifiers are also turning to CHP solutions in order to meet energy efficiency targets in new build developments.  




The full UK Country Report is available via the
Delta-ee Distributed Power Service, a subscription-based research service. For more information, please contact John.Murray@delta-ee.com.

More about Delta-ee’s Distributed Power Service

The Distributed Power Service covers global markets and provides in-depth market insight to help you grow your business in an increasingly dynamic energy sector. We have designed this service to be as accessible and relevant as possible with Market Intelligence updates regularly sent to subscribers, covering policy updates, product developments, energy price movements, and more. In-depth country reports are published throughout the year alongside segmented sales data and future projections to 2020.

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