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Italy: A huge residential boiler market, but is there an opportunity for low carbon?

We recently completed our Roadmap Service forecasts for Italy and, having now assessed a number of major European residential boiler markets and the opportunity they present for low carbon technologies, it’s clear that no two markets are the same. Italy is certainly unique!

With around 1 million residential scale heating appliance sales per year, Italy is a big boiler market – the majority of which are gas boilers. So it’s potentially a large market for developers of new heating technologies to target. But Italy is very different to other European markets in terms of: the mix of heating appliances installed; climate (influencing the choice & appeal of heating systems in the North versus the South); the policy framework for low carbon; & economy.

So, does a big boiler market = a big opportunity for low carbon?

Our Roadmap Service takes these factors into account and quantifies the significant role that boilers will continue to play in Italy to 2025. It also identifies clear opportunities for a number of low carbon technologies. A significant share of the heating market is up for grabs.

The figure below illustrates how the value of the heating market in Italy transforms to 2025 from our Roadmap Service forecasts. “Other” technologies (i.e. low carbon heating technologies such as heat pumps, hybrids, micro-CHP, solar etc.) double their market value to ~€2billion by 2025.

Breakdown of the value of the heating market in Italy today and in 2025.

italy blog

What will drive this transformation in the value of the Italian residential heating market to 2025?

The key drivers that we see delivering this growth are:

1. A recovery in the new build market, which is almost non-existent today

2. Tightening and enforcement of building regulations

3. Introduction of a heat pump specific electricity tariff


But while we do see opportunities in Italy, there are risks and barriers to this growth. The recovery of the economy will be key to unlocking the new build market opportunity, and a lack of subsidies means the upfront cost of new technologies will deter many customers. We’ll be tracking ongoing developments closely in our Roadmap Service.

To find out more….

To understand how the drivers and barriers above are influencing the opportunity for low carbon technologies in Italy, attend Delta-ee’s webinar on 2nd September when we will be discussing highlights from the Italy report. Send Eugenia Sota an email if you would like to register for this webinar.

If you would like information on how to subscribe and prices for our Roadmap Service please contact Stephen Harkin.
 

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Wednesday, 05 August 2020

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